The first cyclone of the 2025 hurricane season, Tropical Storm Alvin, is making its way towards the northeast, causing significant disruptions across various parts of the nation. On May 30th, the National Meteorological Service (SMN) of Conagua reported intense rainfall, wind gusts reaching up to 100 km/h, and waves as high as five meters along the western coast, particularly affecting Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacán.

Path

As of this morning, Alvin's center was positioned 445 km southwest of Playa Pérula, Jalisco, and 665 km south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur. It maintains sustained winds of 85 km/h, with gusts reaching 100 km/h, and is traveling at a speed of 17 km/h towards the northeast.

Forecast

The SMN predicts that Alvin will weaken into a low-pressure system by midday on Saturday, May 31st. Authorities anticipate that it will not make landfall.

Impacts

Cloud bands from Alvin are causing the following effects, according to the SMN bulletin:

Additionally, wind gusts ranging from 60 to 80 km/h are expected along the coasts of Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacán, with a chance of waterspouts near the shores of Jalisco and Colima.

Heatwave and Extreme Temperatures

Despite the rain, a heatwave persists, with temperatures soaring between 40 to 45 °C in states like Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Guerrero, Tabasco, Campeche, and Yucatán.

Authorities advise residents of these areas to:

Recommendations for Alvin

The authorities urge the public, especially those along the Pacific coast, to stay alert to official reports and take necessary precautions. It's recommended to follow updates from the SMN and Conagua through their official channels and social media.

Residents are advised to:

2025 Hurricane Season

The Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15 and will continue until November 30. This year, the SMN forecasts 16 to 20 cyclones in the Pacific, including eight to nine tropical storms, four to five category 1 or 2 hurricanes, and four to six major hurricanes (category 3, 4, or 5). In the Atlantic, 13 to 17 systems are expected.

The number of tropical cyclones projected for the 2025 season is near or slightly above the climatic average due to the neutral phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is expected to persist throughout most of the season.